Sampling flaws may have inflated Lancet's Gaza mortality survey death toll, researchers argue

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Buildings lie in ruins amid the rubble in Rafah in the southern Gaza Strip, December 8, 2025.
Buildings lie in ruins amid the rubble in Rafah in the southern Gaza Strip, December 8, 2025.
(photo credit: NIR ELIAS/REUTERS)

The widely cited Gaza Mortality Survey, published in The Lancet Global Health, may be more unreliable than previously assumed, according to new correspondence recently published in the British medical journal.

Released by Professor Emeritus Sergio DellaPergola of the Hebrew University of Jerusalem and independent researcher Mark Zlochin, the correspondence analyzed the survey’s publicly released data and found several discrepancies in its methodology and study sample.

According to the Gaza Mortality Survey, some 75,200 violent deaths have occured in Gaza during the Israel-Hamas War, which started on October 7, 2023.

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